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Special Report With Bret Baier

News/Business. Bret Baier. (2012) New.

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  FOX News    Special Report With Bret Baier    News/Business. Bret  
   Baier.  (2012) New.  

    September 10, 2012
    3:00 - 4:00pm PDT  

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>> greg: comfortable against a lot of skin. >> kimberly: now you've done it. >> eric: 1 million job, he didn't -- >> bob: you just -- >> eric: that is it for "the five." see you tomorrow. ♪ >> bret: 57 days to go until election day. are new polls a sign the race changed or a tetch rare shift in this is "special report." ♪ ♪ >> bret: good evening i'm bret baier. eight weeks away from the election. if you believe the polls, president obama is pulling ahead from mitt romney. polls are polls and translating positive polls to voters come election day is something different. it appears that a post convention bump is fueling a mini surge for the president. chief political correspondent carl cameron breaks down the numbers. >> reporter: with polls
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showing president obama inching slightly ahead, romney rallied republicans in mansfield, ohio. historically a must-win state for g.o.p. hopeful. >> forward is his campaign slogan. forewarned is a better term. we know that would happen if we were re-elected. we have seen more years of high unemployment. more years of massive deficit. more years of cusp of crisis you are seeing in europe. we're forewarned and that is why we're not going to are elect this man. >> reporter: the president is ahead 50-45 in the buckeye state. the average poll puts obama edge at 2.2. in north carolina, where the national convention ended before last week's discouraging job report. the public policy poll says obama leads by one, virtual tie inside the margin of error. real clear politic average
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shows romney up nearly two. nationwide, the president has a convention pounce. president leads the tracking poll, outside the survey 2% margin of error. real clear politic average of the recent survey puts the president lead at two points. gallup says the democratic national convention was viewed favoriteably 43% to 40% for the republican convention. the top pollster for romney neil haus said don't get worked up. some voters will feel a sugar high from the convention, the structure of the race has not changed significantly. historically, those with a clear win in november has been able to win. but neither has been able to break away so money could make the difference down the stretch. democrats raised $100 million slightly more than romney and g.o.p. romney has 168.5 million cash on hand.
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obama and democrats won't say how much they have had in the bank. they outspent the g.o.p. for months. obama camp accuses the g.o.p. ticket of evasiveness for not saying which tax deduction and loopholes they cut to reduce the deficit. g.o.p. is hiding where he will cut military spending an recycled 2008 rhetoric in the recent convention speech with more empty promises. >> the truth is, it will take, the truth is it will take more than a few days or a few weeks. more than a few years. >> reporter: the romney-ryan ticket trying to expand the battleground state. they're trying to expand the number of battleground swing states in play. launching one in wisconsin, paul ryan's state to capitalize on his popularity there. so far, romney camp is not advertising in michigan. tomorrow, the governor will go to reno where he will give a speech to the national guard and reserve convention, commemorating 9/11.
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>> bret: carl cameron traveling with romney in ohio. thank you. the u.s. has slipped two spots in the ranking of national global competitiveness. switzerland now tops the list of a fourth year in a row. for the fourth year in a row, the u.s. has gone down. this time to seven. the world economic forum blames the deficit, debt and distrust of government. the dow lost 52 today. the s&p 500 dropped nine. nasdaq fell 32. it was supposed to be a budgetary doomsday device, bluff, a threat. now the speck tar of sequestration, series of massive cuts to defense and other programs is looming. as congress returns to work. wendell goler on the politics behind the situation. >> day it was a deadline, they have not detailed the budget proposal. on the campaign trail, president obama says the deal that could force the cut the sequestration was the only way to get republicans to agree to
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raise the debt ceiling and avoid a u.s. default. press secretary jay carney suggests it looks like a winner at the time. >> the budget control act was not just passed with the majority of both parfy in both houses but celebrateed as a victory. >> the possible pentagon cuts and equal cuts divided between medicare and other domestic spending programs in the next ten years were designed to be so draconian they would force a compromise. two sides haven't budged now. republicans want mr. obama to spell out how devastating the cuts would be. >> the president needs to show us how he plans to put this in place if he is not going to help us pass legislation to prevent it in the first place. waiting if thar answer. >> republicans think they can force mr. obama's hand if he proposes cuts the public would reject. aides say the president wants to make the sequestration more
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unthinkable to republicans. tax hike. but they wouldn't buy it. >> sequester as it exists requests not the president's principles, but insistence by the republicans that no revenue be included in it. >> latest jobs report showing weak growth and lower unemployed rate because people stop looking for work, has added to concerns. the sequester cuts could tip the country back in recession to cost more than million jobs. tens of thousands of those jobs could be lost in the navy shipyard in virginia threatens the president hope to carry that state again. sequester political impact is not lost on mitt romney. >> an election year, so he hasn't been willing to do with the law, even the law he signed required. he won't describe the jobs lost. not until after the election.
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>> jay carney says the report should be release and should list cities affected by the cuts that are not supposed to happen. but if they do it could cause problems for the president in more states than virginia. bret? >> bret: wendell goler live in the north lawn. thank you. put the presidential campaign in perspective now. seep your political analyst brit hume has thoughts. >> hi, bret. the big question this election year is whether president obama could campaign his way out of a record that would normally spell defeat for incumbent. tonight, he and many other democrats must surely feel he is on his way to doing it. despite jobs report the day after, polls show obama ahead and a couple have him at or above the magical 50% mark. worried that conservatives say romney must get bolder and go deeply in specific of his plans. perhaps. we heard all of this before
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when romney fell bemind the primary season. each time he combined a deluge of advertising with strong debate performances to take down his rival. his campaign has been storing cash for a deluge this fall. there will be three presidential debates this year. debates don't usually change minds but one did in 1980 amid an economic crisis, ronald reagan used a single debate to send jimmy carter leading in the polls back to georgia. that must be a source of hope in the romney camp tonight. plus, one more thing. post convention poll upticks are called bounces for a reason. they go up. they usually come down. bret? >> bret: i said at the beginning of the program, polls are one thing and getting voters out to the polls on election day is something different. >> bret: this is one area where the polls suggest advantage for romney side. >> republicans voters appear in most polls more vot motivated to vote than barac obama voters.
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the cash advantage can be help in voter turn-out went hear polls about the likely voters a and they tell us a lot but turn-out will tell us how many actual voters we get. that is a key. >> bret: brit, thank you. what could be more important to president obama than the daily intelligence briefings? that is later in the grapevine up next, political buddy has a teachers strike on his hands. [ mother ] you can't leave the table till you finish your vegetables. [ clock ticking ] [ male announcer ] there's a better way... v8 v-fusion. vegetable nutrition they need, fruit taste they love. could've had a v8...
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>> bret: u.s. government grounding flights for mexican immigrants. more than 25,000 passengers flown for free since 2004. meantime, border patrol arrest are at a 40-year low. lately, officials struggled to
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fill the planes. a raring to discuss -- a hearing to discuss report on "fast and furious" moved from tomorrow to next week. democrats expressed concern the inspector general report was not ready in time for the hearing so it will take place a week from wednesday. chairman of the house oversight and got reform committee darrell issa is the guest of greta van susteren tops. now to president obama adopted hometown which has more young people on the streets this afternoon. correspondent steve brown tells us about the first teachers strike in chicago in a quarter of a century. >> what do we want? >> fair contract. >> when do we want it? >> now. >> reporter: 26,000 strong teacher and support staff on strike, forcing the third largest school district to close the doors and 400 ,000 school kids are not in class. warehouse instead recreation center and charms and some cafeterias are open a half day
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to serve breakfast and lunch. >> this is a strike of choice. it's the wrong choice for our children. >> it's not necessary. >> chicago teachers are the highest paid of any major cityarming:7 -- averaging $76,000 averaged 60% pay hike in four years. but other obstacles the teacher evaluation system that unions and supporters don't like. >> come up with a better plan. we have to keep our children out of school until you come up with a better plan and get the teachers what they rightfully deserve. >> there is tension between the mayor, city and teachers for some time. fulfilled emanuel campaign promise to add hour to the school day is popular with parents but teachers say it was done without their input which undermine their trust. >> it's a slap in the face. >> it galvanized teachers to be united. >> both sides in the labor dispute are allies of
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president obama. president endorsed the former chief of staff in the mayor bid and been endorsed by the american federation of teachers including chicago teachers. today, the white house had no specific reaction from the president but called for the quick resolution. >> principal concern for student and families who are affected by the situation. >> we hope that both sides are able to come together to settle this quickly. in the best interest of chicago students. >> the republican presidential nominee mitt romney did weigh in on a strike saying i am disappointed by the decision of the chicago teacher union to turn its back on city negotiating in good faith and hundreds of thousands of children. >> which is what mayor emanuel position is on the strike. he wanted to make sure they knew he didn't give two hoots about what national figures thought about what was going on in his city. bret? >> bret: more on this with the panel. steve brown in chicago. thank you. the mayor of trenton, new jersey, accused of using his
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influence to help a convicted sex offender make money from a construction project that turned out to be part of a sting operation. tony mack was arrested today. prosecutors say mack has financial problems and under scrutiny since he took office two years ago. >> still ahead, they call it mediscare. playing on the fears of the elderly. it will work? fact check coming up. first, fears that bad people could come after the american troops in afghanistan. ♪ [ male announcer ] how could switchgrass in argentina,
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>> bret: there is concern tonight that many terror suspects in afghanistan could soon be back on the battlefield. fighting american troops. national security correspondent jennifer griffin tells us the latest step
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toward the eventual exit in 2014. >> at a ceremony in bagram air base, military handed over responsibility for 3,000 afghan prisoners, currently held there at the prison. afghanistan's largest detention facility. defense secretary leon panetta addressed the handover in a 9/11 remembrance ceremony in shanksville, pennsylvania, after speaking with afghan president hamid karzai this morning. >> we have to continue to work to make sure that pursuant to those agreements, we continue to contain those that are a threat to their country. he accepted that and expressed willingness to continue to work with us. >> it cost $60 million to whether i would and it has a troubled past, including abu ghraib type of abuse to prisoners. karzai called the transfer a
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victory. innocents will be freed and rest will be sentenced according to laws of afghanistan. u.s. military at the last moment decided to keep over dozen of al-qaeda and taliban link prisoners amid concerns that many prisoners will be released. >> it was destined to happen sooner or later. is there a perfect point in time? i don't think there is a perfect point in time. they are as ready as they will be. the inspeckor general is track funds intended for fuel for the afghan army. the record from 2007 to 2011 for the aid was shredded. funding levels unless the fuel requirement are developed and effective control incity tuteed prior to transition
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date will vuller in to believe waste -- vulnerable to waste. 16 prisoners who were never prosecuted were released today at the ceremony. worrying sign perhaps of what is to come. >> bret: jennifer griffin at the pentagon. thank you. yemeni officials trying to determine if the country number two terrorist was killed in the suspected drone attack today. dna testing is done on what may be the remains of the former guantanamo bay detainee. he is described as a senior leader within the group. at least 30 people were killed in an overnight bombing in syria's largest city. aleppo is reeling from what is reported to be some of the deadliest attacks by government forces yet. amateur video released today purports to show shelling and bomb damage in one neighborhood. a watchdog group here in
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washington says iranian pastor who had been sentenced to death for refusing to denounce his christian faith has been freed. he was in prison for three years and reports say the charges were downgraded and he was released. talk of war with iran, u.s. and israel is getting ominous. allies turning up the pressure on iran over the nuclear program. correspondent leland vittert has the latest from jerusalem. >> reporter: over the weekend, israeli prime minister demanded redline or trigger points from the united states. saying such a public declaration would be the only thing to keep israel from having to act alone and launch a pre-emptive strike against iran. iranians continueed negotiations while using time to continue to enrich uranium. they are continuing a clean-up effort southwest of tehran where experts say they tested high explosive for a nuclear
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trigger. today, u.n. nuclear inspector demanded access to the site again. the white house press secretary said intelligence would show if they switched from uranium to work on manufacturing a nuclear bomb. the president believes there is time and space to pursue the nonmilitary route. >> if it produces change in behavior that is the best way to ensure they don't require nuclear weapon. >> they remain coy about their plan for military strike. but experts say the jewish state limited long range bombing capability means it would have to attack iran sooner than the united states would, to slow down iran nuclear program. this weekend one of the newspapers had section on pilot to lead the attack.
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headline translates "it's in our hands." bret? >> bret: leland vittert in the middle east newsroom. thank you. why would an american president skip the daily intelligence briefing? that is coming up. why would russia's president do this? grapevine is next. copd makes it hard to breathe, but with advair, i'm breathing better. so now i can be in the scene. advair is clinically proven to help significantly improve lung function. unlike most copd medications, advair contains both an anti-inflammatory and a long-acting bronchodilator working together to help improve your lung function all day. advair won't replace fast-acting inhalers for sudden symptoms and should not be used more than twice a day.
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startling new statistics regarding president obama daily intelligence briefings. the conservative investigate i research organization says that during the first 1225 days in office, president obama attended the daily session just 536 times. 44%. the national security spokesman did not dispute numbers but said, "the president gets the information he needs from the intelligence community each day. " president obama told author bob woodward it was a mistake to dress down wisconsin republican congressman paul ryan during a major policy speech last year on spenning and the debt. president told woodward about a month before ryan was tapped as romney's running mate. i was not awafer when i gave that speech that paul ryan was going to be sitting right there. had he known, "i might have modified some of it. i do think that they felt like we were trying to embarrass him. we made a mistake." ryan was invited by the white
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house to that speech. abc news points out based on the audio transcript of the president's interview with woodward, president obama called the congressman "jack ryan. "it wasn't noted in the book. and now he realizes his name is paul, not jack. russian president vladimir putin is defending his effort to lead young siberian cranes on southern migration flight. last week he donned a white costume rand road in motorized hang glider. however, the birds mostly refused to follow him. he told a crowd the only ones that did not fly were weak, adding the weather was uncooperative. president obama and democrats are hoping that the election is not just about jobs and the economy. they're counting on concern perhaps over medicare to be a big driver of older voters. chief washington correspondent james rosen look at what democrats are saying and
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whether it's true. >> their plan bankrupts medicare over the long-term. over the short-term means the press out of money by 2016. >> it's true president obama's health law extent medicare solvency from 2016 to 2024. full repeal as mitt romney advocates, payroll taxes will enable medicare to pay 67% of the bills as late as 2050. as well, the congressional budget office has found if obamacare is left in place, federal debt will rise to 90% of gdp by 2050. while under paul ryan's plan to issue the medicare vouchers or premium support, deficit and debt will be much smaller. >> only dealing with the people in their 30s, 20s, 30s, 40s and early 50s. strikes me the best deal for them is to let them either buy current medicare or to have a private plan. >> scoring the ryan budget last year, the cbo projected the glan wally increasing number of the beneficiaries in
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the program would bear a largeer share of the healthcare cost under the program. the chief actuary testified about the premium support plans this year. >> it has ability to ensure competition, and potentially to lower the level of cost as well. >> what you are saying with medicare today, with medicare part "d," prescription drug benefit the cost they have come up with is far less than anyone predicted. competition works. >> recent study found reducedstt are because of production of pharmaceutical. >> the plan on paper that they are proposing would cut benefit immediately for 30 million seniors already collecting medicare.
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>> fat check.org said it's misleading. it will plummet by 30% next year with the medicare enrollees left feeling the pinch. >> if the payment reduction were to occur it would be serious consequences for access to physicians. >> president obama told his audiences in florida this weekend he will never turn medicare to avoucher program. but he has done is that with a new h.h.s. pilot program to transfer them to private plan. first state to participate, massachusetts. >> bret: much more of the fact checks coming. james, thank you. you are using your credit cards less this summer. federal reserve says borrowing dipped by more than $3 billion in july. seasonally adjusted 2.7 trillion. it's the second straight monthly decline.
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♪ ♪ introducing a stunning work of technology. ♪ introducing the entirely new lexus es. and the first ever es hybrid. this is the pursuit of perfection. part of the see questions tration law that was -- sequestration law that was signed, it requires the president of the united states to specify what cut he is going to make to the military. i know it's an election year so he hasn't been able to do what the law, the law he signed required. he hasn't put out the cuts and he won't describe the job lost. no, not probably until after the election.
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we found one secret related to national security he is willing to keep. >> it was two plus one equals five. they couldn't answer questions about how they pay for $50 trillion, the new tax cut and $2 trillion in new defense spending without raising taxes on the middle class. that is not bold leadership. that's bad math. >> bret: governor rom and president obama asking for more specifics. this is as new poll has some republicans worried about the state of the race. nationally, three new polls out. first, ibd, csm poll. the rasmussen poll, president up five. gallup poll the president up five. the real average of polls are
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polls taken before the convention. we thought we'd leave those out. bring in the panel about the state of the race. steve hayes for "weekly standard." a.b. stoddard of the hill. syndicated columnist charles krauthammer. steve, where are we? >> there is new overnight conventionm wisdom that the race is over. barack obama had a good convention. he is ahead in polls so we don't need to do the next few months. one prognosticator says 80% that obama will win on the strength of the polls. that is overstated i think. the separate question is whether the romney campaign looks to need to look to make adjustn'ts. the answer is question. if you look back at the way that the romney campaign between the end of, the effective end of the republican primary in april and the beginning of the general election or when they picked paul ryan it was a safe campaign. cautious campaign to look at the economic number, statistic.
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unemployment number. things like that. focus on those things. they didn't make progress. they picked paul ryan and the campaign changed. the campaign had a different feel. bigger, bolder, more conservative. they came out for a week and me a sustained and aggressive argument on medicare. they won the week. everybody was shocked at the end of the week, it was polling better and the "washington post" on medicare. up in general poll. we revert back to the preryan moment. there was a quote in a big politico article about the state of the race from stuart stevens. strategist for the romney campaign. he asked what is their saving grace? what will you do now? cavalcade of statistics of how bad the country is. people know what bad shape the country is in. they don't need statistics.
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they need big argument and an aggressive campaign. >> bret: leadership campaign. a.b., people who say conservatives, like the weekly standard talked about this, don't forget about the primary. where romney was told he wasn't bold enough either. yet, he pulled it out. >> the thing is, bret, i want to start by agreeing with steve that polls are volatile. rasmussen when we were in charlotte had romney up after his convention by five. no one should pay attention to those. if you are the romney campaign, forget the primary of the getting close to election day is running out of opportunities to change the course of the race. if everybody knows this data and the strong majority of americans think the country is on the wrong track and they are giving recent vote in the poll to president obama, why is an unbold referendum cap pape going to work? if you speak with romney campaign officials they will tell you, this is a slowing
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and steady wins the race strategy. they will break with the challenge. what if it doesn't happen? how about trying something new? try to trust the shop. get more aggressive. at this point, it's dead heat with the president. now he is behind. if i were them, i wouldn't take the risk. >> bret: looking to the primary, not apples and apples. but when romney performed in that florida debate, against newt gingrich he turned the tide by his sheer debate performance with the debate. >> inundating newt with ads. romney has money. he has the capacity as he showed in the primary debate to rise to the occasion and win. that is still out there and possible. the problem for romney only
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four events could change the course. he apparently squandered the first. that's why there is some concern. i agree the numbers aren't that important. basically, the last 50 years they t average bounce is five points. looks like obama got it. romney got. the bounce today is more afemoral than in the past because of the rapid news cycle. >> bret: some people say romney got his bounce with the paul ryan pick at the beginning, a separated bounce. >> all right. like a triple jump. give you that, but it's gone. they had an opportunity in the last night of the convention that ended up as a strange night. issues going large but there is an empathy gap.
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they were trying to show it in cam pa. they had wonderful character witnesses who didn't show up in crucial hour. instead it was the clint eastwood show that monopolized the water cooler discussion for three days. topical error and opportunity to miss. this is a dead heat. the bounce will wear off within a few days. now he has three chances to show "a," large idea and that he cares. he is a guy who does. he should be able to show it. >> bret: a new bob woodward book out. we say that every once in a while. not too flattering for president obama. the first quote, "it is a fact that president obama was handed a miserable faltering economy and faced recalcitrant republican opposition. they should work their will on the important matters of national business. obama has not. we go down to the review, of
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this book, woodward's portrait of obama sketched through a series of scenes from the meeting room and phone call, reveal a man that is too confident in his negotiating skills. and in his ability to understand hissed a vertarys. charles -- understand his adversaries. big deal? not a big deal? >> huge deal. inside stories of one of the most crucial episode with test of leadership and he failed. the last analysis is right. he doesn't lack for self-regard but he lacks for managerial and negotiating skills. he never ran a candy store. he had to negotiate a tough deal that could have been done an he failed. >> bret: a.b.? >> there is not actually a lot of new stuff in here. another account of this really miserable chapter in american history we lived through breathlessly last summer. both parties including ryan
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voted for a stupid debt deal. led to a trig they're went nowhere. we have a vote where he is venderring his judgment, which woodward hasn't done in past. if you look at books written, articles written about this, not new stuff. he is a failure negotiating. that's probably true. when you hear vis van holland and -- chris van holden and the quote is the democrats didn't have a strategy. unbelievable. there wasn't core prix approximatelys. other democrat -- there wasn't e principles. other democrats, it seems a little new. >> bret: some of is it devastating. >> he said meeting with members of congress you can raise the taxes on millionaires all you want.
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it doesn't the problem. which is ironic. take that comment from last summer and you place it in the middle of the presidential campaign today. that the centerpiece of president obama economic package. >> bret: next up, school is out if chicago. ♪ [ male announcer ] finally, mom's oven-baked tastes straight from the microwave. like oven-roasted chicken in a creamy alfredo sauce. marie callender's new comfort bakes. it's time to savor. tomato, obviously. haha. there's more than that though, there's a kick to it. wahlalalalallala! smooth, but crisp. it's kind of like drinking a food that's a drink, or a drink that's a food, woooooh! [ male announcer ] taste it and describe the indescribable. could've had a v8.
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the choice, the wrong choice for our children, and it's not necessary. totally avoidable. >> we're trying to continue to keep our children out of school until you come up with a better plan, and give the teachers what they rightfully deserve. >> the president has i think, you just heard from me, has not expressed any opinion or made any assessment about this particular incident.
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>> 26,000 teachers and support staff in chicago on strike. third largest school district closing the door. 400,000 kids not in school now. standoff continues. here is what paul ryan said a while ago. we know that rahm is not going to support the campaign. on the issue, on this day, we stand with mayor rahm emanuel, we stand with the children and the families and the parents of chicagoment education report, bipartisan issue. where does obama stand? with rahm emanuel, the children or parents or with the union? back with the panel. a.b., what about this? >> it was obvious that jay carney had the too tight shoe look on his face. rush limbaugh is wrong, this is not a democratic set up so media can swoon and the president will rush in and end the strike and helpunes. this is more politically toxic for president obama.
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he knows coming out in favor of teachers union is a big mistake. >> this is an opening for president obama. if he wanted to appeal to the swing voters that everybody is obsessed with, some out and say i'm for good schools. good schools no matter how we get them. i think what my chief of staff is doing in chicago is right to do. are they going to not organize them because he challenges for the home state and hometown? not taking a position for obama looks weak. this is his home state and chiechief of staff his kids woud have gone to school if he stayed there and he wouldn't take a position? >> bret: wisconsin he took a position. >> he didn't weigh in but he took a position saying he was with the union. >> charles? >> that is why he is dancing
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around right now. they don't want to come out against the teachers union, one of the most important, powerful. democratic party. you have can't go against them. ironic they are striking against the democratic mayor. the teachers with $76,000 a year and the salary. that is the highest of any big city in the country. t person who pays taxes in chicago, average salary is $47,000. teachers are making 50% more than those supporting him them on average. they have been offered a 16% hike in wages. time of high unemployment, desperation. they turn it down. why? they don't want tampering with the health benefit. they don't want any system of the teacher evaluation to get some idea of who is not a good teacher. you can actually read them out before they -- weed them out
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before they destroy life of children in their class. the democrats like the president have a hard time standing up for this. grab a position of steady neutrality shows how much of hostages they are. >> bret: politics of this, rahm emanuel did speak at the democratic convention. he apparently left early but he is raising money for the president and the super pac supporting the president i believe. >> he at the end of the convention decided to leave the campaign in become superer pac, and now because of the strike stepped aside from the super pac fundraising role because he is too busy in chicago. this is obvious this is president wants to be seen in step with public opinion and fiscal reality.
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the state and local budget go further. i think this is wimpy not to wish it away. he is in a strangle hold that charles speaks of. >> bret: how does it end? >> i think the teachers end up having to give. >> a.b.? >> i probably bet that, too. >> charles? >> no, i think the city will give. get a sweet deal to teachers. >> okay. that is it for the panel. stay tuned to see how part of the president speech at the dnc may have one comic rethinking the 2008 campaign. endless shrimp is our most popular promotion at red lobster. there's so many choices, the gues love it! [ male announcer ] don't miss endless shrimp. try as much as you like, anyway you like. like new teriyaki grilled shrimp
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